Monthly Archives: November 2015

It’s Time to Find Out Right Space for Survival.

earthdiver

“Financial Capitalism”, “Digital Economy” and “Irreversible Climate Change”: These are the factors which have been leading us to the era of accelerated total volatilities. To survive even in such a hard time, there is only one way for all of us: Control of our own autonomic nervous system. Why?

Usually, we firmly believe our brain controls other parts of human body. It’s not true. Other parts of our body than brain control the latter. And to check whether the former correctly work, we need the autonomic nervous system.

Now, you may wonder “how”. Based on traditional lectures in East Asia, particularly Japan, there are two things you have to focus on at first: Time and Space. To kick off, you’d better work on time management, conditioned that you’re still young and both physically and mentally capable of controlling yourself. Nevertheless, the time will come when you should step forward to the next stage.

It’s time for you to pick up how “space” management works. As long as you successfully acquire the skill for self-control of your own autonomic nervous system in due course, you may already understand how you feel when you encounter “correct” things: Right person, right moment, and right space. Based on such a feeling, you’ll have to walk around to find out a “right space for survival”.

Again, this was actually what the traditional leadership of East Asia practiced to maintain its power. Ancient leaders were well aware of how to find out “right spaces”. Just take a look at maps, which show where shrines and ancient coastlines are located. Prof. Shinichi NAKAZAWA, who was once a hero of the times in the Japanese public, correctly pointed it out.

At the dawn of the financial capitalism’s final stage, everybody seems to stare only at financial products, which are to soar after the FRB/FOMC will have decided to raise the interest rate in US. In the euphoria we will soon face, we’d better secretly start to take the next step: Finding out the right space for survival. Don’t miss it.

 

Next Target: the Inland Sea.

hanshinawaji

While I pointed out based on analysis obtained from the US intelligence community that a significant earthquake could happen in either Tokyo or its suburbs in the very near future, my related post was well viewed. That clearly shows we Japanese are still frightened in the ambiguity and keep on seeking any kind of relevant information for survival.

In this regard, I just want to update the intelligence analysis on possibility of future earth quake in Japan herewith: Due to a series of middle-sized earthquakes on October 18th, 2015 in the Tottori Prefecture, the strata composition seems to have been dramatically changed. The Kanto region including Tokyo and Kanagawa obviously got rid of the pre-emergency status. Instead of that, the whole Inland Sea is being currently underlined. Even the US intelligence community isn’t capable of predicting when it will exactly happen. Maybe within two years. However, once it’ll take place, it’ll bring about disasters beyond description in the region, while it’ll be accompanied with a series of seismic sea waves (Tsunami).

Caution: Secure your “second place” outside the region, if you’re living around the Inland Sea. You still have two more years before the moment of the truth.

 

Anticipated Crisis and Failed Future of Digitalization

terror_in_paris

Listening to the Koran telling a new day has just begun, I’m writing this column in Antalya/Turkey. From yesterday, I’ve been attending this year’s B20 meeting, which will be continued today and even jointly held with G20 leaders’ meeting tomorrow. This is a kind of wrap-up sessions, since our B20’s policy recommendations were already handed over to G20 in the last meeting held in September in Ankara. Just to see how B20 will further evolve towards the next year’s Chinese presidency, I come here to watch the scene.

Actually, there is indeed another reason why I come here: As I repeatedly mentioned beforehand, my institute closely collaborate with an alliance partner dedicated to do quantitative analysis. Based on that, my institute then analyses open sources and find out the world’s trends ahead. This kind of unique combination between quantitative and qualitative analysis is what the institute called “IISIA” and my alliance partner, Mr. HKD, have been doing every day.

About one month ago, Mr. HKD indicated the financial market’s trend could be changed a little bit dramatically from 13th to 16th of November. Thanks to the result of his brilliant quantitative analysis, our institute intensively began to find out what would happen during the period. Tentatively, there were two versions of interpretation as follows: First, Mr. HKD’s quantitative analysis pointed out JPY could be appreciated from 13th of November. And from 14th to 15th of November, this year’s G20 summit was to be held here in Antalya. My interpretation was that US would take the opportunity to call on the global community to prepare for its higher interest rate than before. Even though, this would be officially done in the next meeting of FRB/FOMC in mid-December, a prior notice could be given to the rest of the world in order to evade any shocks in the financial market.

As the second version of interpretation, I referred vis-à-vis my clients to the possibility of terrorism with global impacts. That will presumably happen particularly in Europe, since Mr. HKD’s quantitative analysis indicated at first not USD but EUR could be depreciated during the above shown period. Expressis verbis, I pointed out terrorists of the so-called Islamic State (IS), who succeeded to penetrate into the European societies as a part of “Syrian refugees”, would start their offensive in Europe.

As all of you are already informed, dear readers, the latter is the case this time. In Paris, more than one hundred citizens were massacred last night. This is unbelievable, however, wasn’t difficult to be anticipated. Again, thanks to Mr. HKD’s quantitative analysis, my clients were already aware of the possibility of such a massacre in Europe.

Having read articles reported from Paris in the internet, I’m now about to doubt whether our “B20” as such will become worthless after the indiscriminate murder in Paris. The current strategy of B20 process is too simple to change the global community profoundly: Total digitalization would lead to “inclusiveness” that would make all the people happy. In yesterday’s session, the “distinguished” panelists advocated even to accelerate digitalization in LDC where the local people allegedly suffer from lack of information to start business. From my viewpoint, we have to claim quite the opposite: Digitalization divide us into the two groups. The one consists of those who are somehow capable of adapting themselves to the accelerated world, while another fails to do so. The richer the former becomes, the bigger the latter’s antagonism grows. Total digitalization never makes all of us happy. Never ever. It just brings about a series of political turmoil even with act of violence such as terrorism we just saw in Paris last night.

Another way of both thinking and doing is urgently needed, which can be unfortunately not discussed by the western dominated meetings and conferences like B20. China will be fully involved in the old-fashioned B20 process next year and not be able to get rid of total digitalization and its tragic end. Maybe, reluctant participation of Japanese members in B20 process shows their potential to do something new for the world. “Total analogization” will be then the key to the future. Whether the Japanese people become aware of this historical mission or not, does matter.

Human Intelligence versus Artificial Intelligence

IMG_1695

Having visited here 20 years ago for the last time, I’m now staying in Vienna/Austria since the last Wednesday. Taking the opportunity to attend this year’s Global Drucker Forum”, I decided to check what’s going on in this city. Last time, I had the feeling that this city on the Danube was the mixture between the eastern communist and the western capitalistic blocks and therefore underdeveloped. As I then lived in Germany after the dramatic unification, this feeling was somehow dramatized in my mind and never goes away. However, my adaptive unconscious leads me to pay a visit here again to check whether it remains so.

To be honest, this Vienna’s image since the Cold War can’t be found out any more. The city has been completely digitalized, and this is, from my viewpoint, exactly why the forum has picked up the issue “Claiming Our Humanity – Managing in the Digital Age” as the main topic to be handled in this year’s session.

Furthermore, I’ve been extremely surprised and inspired indeed to hear what the majority of panelists say in the forum. They are rather pessimistic vis-à-vis the future development of artificial intelligence (AI) by saying its possibility is technologically limited. Touching upon so-called “singularity”, they firmly believe there must always be a room for the human being to overcome AI’s offensive to the daily life. Henry Mintzberg, legendary professor of the McGill University, referred even to his fear of human communities’ disappearance due to excessive digitalization (sic!). The audience applauded his comment.

Yes, of course, this is obviously opinion expressed from viewpoint of those who are professionally engaged in (industrial) human resource management. If all the problems were to be solved by AI, they would lose their jobs immediately. As the audience, we should keep it in mind.

However, this experience here in Vienna was extremely astonishing for me from Japan, while almost all the Japanese media tend to simply claim almighty AI and undoubted singularity towards the future. They pretend even as if there were no “western talented experts” who oppose to the idea of almighty AI. This is not true. For those experts from both US and Europe who got together in the forum, the story of “almighty AI” is “an inconvenient truth”. We should always be aware of the fact that the leadership in the advanced economies except for Japan is divided into two groups in this regard: “AI is welcome”, the optimist says, while the pessimist stick to the position, “AI must be limited”.

Seeing is truly believing. I now feel I just found the very reason to visit the city of Vienna at least once a year from now on. If you also want to get to know the truth in the global community, just follow me. Otherwise, you never grasp what’s really going on in the virtual and conventional realities.