Monthly Archives: March 2020

Emergency Declaration in Japan and Crisis of Water.

Whenever governmental authorities plan to show their powers, nobody can’t keep it secret and we can’t fall asleep till the late night while listening to various rumors and suspicions one after another. It was also the case for yesterday’s night in Tokyo, the capital of Japan.

Even though Japanese mass media never refers officially, almost all the local journalists and reporters are quite aware the Government of Japan is about to declare the country’s emergency due to the new type of coronavirus (COVID-19) and take a series of tough measures against freedom of the Japanese citizens. According to information I succeeded to collect so far, there are three scenarios, of which the one will be realized very soon as follows:

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-Scenario 1: Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo ABE will mention Japan’s emergency declaration during his media conference of today’s evening (from 18:00 JST).

-Scenario 2: The emergence declaration will be released on the forthcoming Monday, 30 March.

-Scenario 3: To avoid any turmoil in the stock and financial market till the end of March, the GOJ will declare Japan’s emergency due to the pandemic on 1 April (NOT as April fool).

 

The emergency declaration will be released legally based on the amendment to Act on Special Measures concerning Pandemics approved by the Japanese Diet in the middle of this month. The Act prepares three steps GOJ can and may take in accordance with levels of pandemics, while it is supposed to regard the current situation in Japan due to COVID-19 as the second stage and will take strict measures to prevent from the infectious disease’s overshooting.

Well, as far as we observe the situation in a superficial manner, there is nothing particular we should pick up for discussion here. However, in the course of time, I’ve been becoming aware there IS something remarkable behind all the stories concerning “lockdown” and “overshooting” etc., as the following:

-Governments of major countries ridiculously coordinate to take similar measures to combat COVID-19 within the same time framework (from the latter half of March to the end of April) even beyond the difference of political and ideological directions except for PRC.

-As far as our institute, IISIA, is informed, the Government of Russian Federation under the leadership of Vladimir Putin has been regarding the beginning of the forthcoming May (around 9 May, 2020) will be the decisive milestone for the global community as a whole with dramatic change of its entire order.

-Even though Prime Minister Shinzo ABE and his close allies in the Japanese politics made tremendous efforts to hold the Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo in this year, the Japan’s National Security Secretariat (the Japanese type of “CIA”) seems to have worked rather on this emergency declaration and its relevant measures and policies which would inevitably blocks preparations for the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 and dramatically change the daily life of ordinary people in large cities such as Tokyo. We should wonder who actually leads to do so even against the highest political will.

-Last but not the least, from 17 April, 2020, Japan will de facto hold two “Emperors”. His Imperial Highness Prince Akishino will be officially acknowledged as the heir to the Imperial throne by holding a national celebration. Of course, His Imperial Majesty Emperor of Japan is his brother. However, imagine what will take place if we’ll observe salient differences of both behavior, thought and comment between them. This will be dramatized if the younger brother will sooner or later move his residence to Kyoto, the ancient capital of Japan due to the pandemic (together with his brother and mother, Their Majesties Emperor and Empress Emeritus of Japan). The older brother may not and won’t follow them because the Imperial Palace is officially located in Tokyo since the Meiji Restoration.

 

As long as we remain within the previous framework of thinking, we never figure out what is about to happen in the realities at all, I think. Only if we jump out of it and succeed to include things and issues “out of the box”, we finally find out the coronavirus is just an excuse for the new emerging world which shall be, of course, financed and controlled with every new thing and person.

A wise man, who’s traditionally standing very close the Japanese Imperial Household, kindly suggested to me the key word in this regard is the forthcoming dramatic shortage of “liquidity”. But what liquidity do we have to focus on from now on? A few days ago, the secretariat of World Water Council informed me that I’m appointed to be a part of an Action Group for 9th World Water Forum to be held in late March in Dakar. Deeply thinking about the emerging crisis of “liquidity” we’re about to face, I’ll enthusiastically work on making a brand-new global agenda together with my friends and colleagues of the forum from now on (By the way, His Majesty Emperor of Japan has also enthusiastically committed himself to this issue “water” and the forum.). Stay tuned.

No More Shinzo Abe’s Noble Lie, Please.

While some parts of the global community, particularly European countries, are still suffering from the on-going wide spread of COVID-19, Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan, just gets an old but new headache in politics. The widow of a government official of Ministry of Finance abruptly released to the public what her husband, who had committed a suicide in the midst of controversy, had left in a handwritten farewell note. From objective viewpoint in terms of Japanese politics, this incident will soon lead Shinzo Abe to get a fatal wound in his career as Prime Minister of Japan.

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To understand the story correctly, we have at first to get back to its origin. Akie Abe, the wife of Shinzo Abe and “(political) first lady” of Japan frequently visited the family of Kagoike in Osaka, Japan, who had been planning to build up a new and far conservative elementary school (“Moritomo-Gakuen elementary school). The point is Mr. and Mrs. Kagoike obviously asked Mrs. Akie Abe for political assistance so as to purchase a land for the elementary school with discount price from Ministry of Finance, since they aimed at a property estate as state-owned asset. As far as Japanese mass media reported so far, Mrs. Abe and her staff allegedly “informed” governmental officials in charge of Mr. and Mrs. Kagoike’s wish. And in fact, they succeeded to acquire the real estate and open their own private elementary school, where the pupils were educated with textbooks of far right-wing anachronism.

In the Japanese Diet, PM Shinzo Abe was harshly criticized by opposition parties that this must be an illegal political “pork barrel”, which he, of course, totally denied. A citizen group tried to persuade prosecutors to move against this misconduct directly connected with Mrs. Akie Abe, but indirectly related with PM Shinzo Abe and his political power, however, the Japanese prosecutor did not accept its request and just sealed the indictment. The case seems to be, at least so far, closed.

But now, the card just reverses. Thanks to the handwritten note of Mr. Toshio Akagi, who was forced to keep secret what he had seen, written and done for the sake of the “special request” from the Japanese political leader’s spouse, we all know what the Government of Japan publicly announced and explained jointly with Japanese prosecutors was fake and shall be regarded as a typical example of political “noble lie” in Japan. PM Shinzo Abe immediately released his statement in terms of this matter, but only expressed his deep remorse on the whole story and firmly rejected any kind of apology to the public by taking political responsibility for this matter.

 

Well, this is just an unprecedented but short story of Japanese politics we used to experience frequently. Nevertheless, while we focus on forecasting the very near future events in not only Japan but the entire world community, this is of extreme significance, I think. Why?

The global financial market keeps on being tumbled, and government of advanced and emerging economies announced series of “rescue programs” including “helicopter money” one after another. Simultaneously, oil price is being sharply falling down and this trend never stops, at least so far. Although almost every analyst of financial market shows interest only in tentative appreciation of USD, JPY has got extreme appreciation recently. This is rather remarkable and meaningful as well than the former.

The human history, of which trends of the global financial market is a part, is constituted by fractal phenomena and regulated by the (mathematical) “power law”. These things simply show events and incidents in the world appear one after another, which are not the same but quite similar to each other. To anticipate the future, this knowledge of “law of history” is so essential that we have to get back to the past and intensively learn what happened before thinking of the events ahead. Once conditions are met as we had in the past, almost same events are about to take place. This is the golden rule all the distinguished viewer of the very near future always keeps eyes on.

Having said that, I herewith underline what we are seeing in both Japan and the global community are quite fractual to the situations in late 1980s, especially the a few-years period from 1987, the year of “Black Monday” in stock markets. We just experienced “Black Days” in the financial market, while we see dramatic falling down of oil price due to Saudi Arabian political decision and unprecedented quantitative easing by central banks and financial authorities of major countries. Almost the same events and incidents happened from October, 1987 in Japan and the whole world, while the then Japanese PM Yasuhiro Nakasone was forced resign after his right-wing administration for 5 years.

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A wise man in the Chinese traditional leadership once told me that Japan can survive despite all the turmoil of the human history, conditioned that she is not led a “powerful” political leader with his original way of thinking but without any appropriate sense to established laws of both the human civilization and universe. In this regard, I firmly believe it’s the highest time for PM Shinzo Abe of Japan to announce his resignation without any prior notice to others. From viewpoint of the above mentioned “law of history”, only the Japanese financial market will suddenly get started with its second version of bubble economy, as soon as its last condition, “resignation of Shinzo Abe”, will be met as we experienced from late autumn of 1987. As far as the latent image is concerned, almost all the requirements for Japan’s bubble economy are satisfied, and in this context, we can already say the bubble economy of Japan has even already begun at least in the latent (high dimensional) world. If Shinzo Abe and his wife still want to save their family dignity, they are highly recommended to follow this “law of history” and give up his highest political power as soon as the critical date of the latent world,  22 March, 2020 comes. Anyway, no more “noble lie”, please, Mr. Prime Minister. Instead, let the human history go forward as it should do. Stay tuned.

Beyond “Black Days” in the Market: What’s Next?

As my institute “IISIA” correctly had forecasted since the last week of February 2020, the global financial market dramatically tumbled and reached its selling climax last week. Amid the financial turmoil, almost everybody seems to talk about the emerging recession of the world economy. Well, I fully understand such a sentiment in the society, however, this is unfortunately not the case. Why?

Apart from individual retail investors, nobody among leading institutional investors refers to “recession” actually. For him/her, there is ONLY volatilities, which enable him/her make profits. Thus, “going-down” in the market is, at least for him/her, welcome, as long as he/she can be well prepared in advance. The only question is, therefore, how long it will take before fixing his/her profit with deals.

In this regard, the current situation in the global financial market is quite easy to understand, conditioned that you’re well aware of the golden rule for state leadership in terms of governance of national economy. When the nation state’s economy flourishes, supply surpasses demand sooner or later. To avoid rapid recession due to such a situation, the government used to either officially or unofficially begin wars for increasing demands. This is exactly why the modern history has been always accompanied with devastating wars among nations.

The point is none of the current political leaders in the world can’t follow this golden rule because of two reasons: To execute a physical “war”, they’re urged to collect a huge amount of money. Facing accumulating sovereign debts, they’re awfully reluctant to do so in order not to fall into national default, a nightmare for political leaders. Having said that, even Donald Trump and Xi Jinping has domestically enough support in their societies to force their citizens to go to the battlefield. Particularly, Donald Trump really loves to do “verbal” wars through Twitters, but never declares a real “physical” war against his alleged “enemy countries”. This is also the case for other leaders of major countries including Europe, China and even Japan.

In this context, it’s COVID-19 (new coronavirus) that really matters to these poor political leaders. Due to spread of the virus, all the governments on the globe may now release their “emergency declaration” and limit physical and economic activities of their citizens. That is, of course, VERY VERY bad for national economies, which inevitably leads us to a “recession-like situation”. Nevertheless, the situation can be controlled both politically and artificially.

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In the Tokyo stock market, NIKKEI 225 index recently abruptly fell down to 19,500 point at first, and then to 17500, while mass media loudly reported investors are in fear of wider spread of coronavirus in the Japanese society. As mentioned above, IISIA, my institute has been publicly announcing its forecast on the future financial market saying it’s about rather to rocket, which would be described “the very last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” afterwards. Having viewed the latest changes in the Tokyo stock market, I’m firmly confident facts will follow our forecast very soon.

17,500 point of NIKKEI 225 index is closely connected with irreversible insolvency of Bank of Japan, which has massively bought ETFs in the market since 2012. 19.500 point means, according to BOJ’s disclosed balance sheet, BOJ stops to enjoy profit due to increasing price of Japanese stocks. In short, BOJ simply returns to its “ground zero” and will begin to make the Tokyo stock market rocket again from 16 March, 2020, while Government of Japan suddenly starts to announce the domestic situation related to COVID-19 is allegedly under control. We’re just viewing Japanese style of “nobles oblige”, I think.

While other major economies still pretend to suffer from the wide and devastating spread of the new coronavirus, Japan tends to be regarded as “top runner” or even “last resort” in the financial market very soon. The GOJ is forced to persuade all the stakeholders that the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 shall be held according to its officially fixed schedule. To do so, GOJ will make use of all means including the next stage of quantitative easing by BOJ and withdrawal of the increase of consumption tax from 10 to 8 percent, which obviously oppressed further recovery of Japanese national economy. To Japan, special attention should be tentatively paid, since US and EU rather concentrate on decreasing the velocity of their economies’ growth by using the “COVID-19” trick. To wrap up, I herewith wanna say the Japanese stock market will rocket at least two months from 16 March, 2020, until the time when the Tokyo Summer Olympic Games in 2020 will be officially cancelled due to the on-going pandemic despite all the measures taken by GOJ.

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Well, asking myself again, why Japan?? If you would belong to the gentlemen’s club called “freemasonry”, you’d be quite aware Japan is the nation which always gets breakthroughs for the sake of other parts of the world (Even though I’m not a member of the club, an Asian deep throat standing very close to me, once told this face with a written evidence.). What the global leaders expect to see is a “gnostic revolution of the world”. To make it happen, Japan shall be enough oppressed to jump into another dimension by thinking and doing outside the box. According to the Le Chatelier’s principle, Japan needs to be raised and go up dramatically, so as to go down drastically. The above shown “last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” with highly increasing stock price since 16 March, 2020 is strongly needed, so that the global leadership will be fully satisfied to see the next stage of the human civilization. The latest “Black Days” are the very beginning of the final story, being combined with the middle-sized earthquake in NOTO Peninsula in the midnight of 12 March, 2020. Stay tuned.

Next Target: Russia. What Shall Be Done?

While Xi Jinping’s state visit obviously failed to be realized at this juncture, Japanese PM Shinzo Abe’s diplomacy aims at another goal right now: Russia. Mass media don’t pay both sufficient and appropriate attention to Abe’s visit to Moscow in May so far, as far as I’ve been informed. Nevertheless, this visit will be the decisive milestone for not only Japanese and Russian diplomacy but also crisis management of the entire global community including fight against pandemic. Do you know why?

Abe’s administration proudly announces that “the personal friendship between Shinzo and Vladimir” is already firm enough to get a breakthrough in terms of Kuril islands issue, the issue of Achilless’ tendon of bilateral relationship between Tokyo and Moscow. But the Russian side isn’t convinced of rapprochement with Japan and still doubts Tokyo’s real intention vis-à-vis Moscow. In this regard, I have a written evidence, which I don’t disclose to the public right now (maybe later, through this official weblog. Stay tuned).
Nobody except for inner circle of political mystics in both nations seems to understand dramatic turbulence in PRC such as the on-going one caused by COVID-19, will be sooner or later closely related to this territorial issue. How about you?? To understand Putin’s way of thinking, just imagine the following future scenario in this context: At this stage, Russia succeeds to control the worldwide crisis due to COVID-19 by banning entrance of the Chinese into the border, while almost no Chinese citizens are seen in major cities in Russia such as St. Petersburg I recently visited. This is not the case for Japan: Due to failed crisis management, PM Shinzo Abe once announced to “welcome” Chinese citizens even after the outbreak of the pandemic this year. Before dramatic change of Abe’s policy against Chinese tentative “medical immigrants”, a huge number of such citizens have already come to Japan (particularly Hokkaido) as a better place than their hometown in PRC. Now, Abe’s administration finally makes series of decisions to suppress the number of COVID-19 patients in the domestic sphere, while he feels strongly pressed by the global management in the context of mismanagement regarding “Diamond Princess”. Having said that, Abe’s position towards Putin seems not to be best for the deal of Kuril Islands, while Japan’s status and power are apparently weakened in the midst of this turmoil of pandemic. Theoretically, Putin could take advantage of such a situation and force his “fake friend”, Shinzo, to accept “the glorious achievement of the former Soviet Union during WWII in Far East”.

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From my viewpoint, the only way-out will be given to the poor PM of Japan, when another shock wave of pandemic after COVID-19 will appear very soon. Being combined with political upheavals in peripheries of PRC such as Hongkong, this second wave of pandemic, which will be much more powerful and uncontrollable than the current one, will lead the Chinese people to massively emigrate from PRC and get safe haven in the neighborhood, especially Japan and Russia. This kind of dramatic escalation due to the common reason will inevitably force the both nations to find a joint solution by making a (tentative) colony for the Chinese migrants in a place which they have been discussing so long time. As you might grasp right now, that’s the Kuril Islands.
Of course, reading such a future scenario of stupid imagination, you must be laughing, I believe. However, just take into account massive emigrant wave is now caused by the Turkish authority right now, which will make the whole Europeans get into an unprecedented social crisis. Why not also in Far East? And the game will be totally changed when the United Nations will be asked to lead the discussion on making such a (tentative) colony due to massive emigrant wave from PRC to Russia and Japan.
Even though he pretend to stick to only security issues, Putin actually expects Abe to show his sense of understanding such a “big picture” of the very near future, I suppose. Despite his public image of “strong political guy”, it’s Vladimir Putin that is of highly mystical character and confidentially supported by financing of the (western) global leadership from the very beginning of his political career in St. Petersburg and Moscow. From his own mystical information source, Putin seems to know what will take place in Russia and other parts of the world in the very near future. My impression is he’s just following what his mysitical master tells, while his political decision is thus somtimes extremely difficult for other to undersand. For the same reason, Putin and his satete “Russia” is well prepared for the on-going pandemic.

Japan’s diplomacy tries to make use of the issue of DPRK as one of the common backgrounds for rapproachement with Russia, which the Russians never regard so any more. Japan is urged to find out another common issue with Russia other than trivial propaganda of joint economic activities in the Kuril Islands. That’s the pandemic, even a new one ahead, I think. If Putin won’t be well prepared for this new one, Russia will immediately get into crisis and turmoil. That’ll be “the high time” for diplomacy of Japan vis-a-vis Russia, in terms of the Kuril Islands issue. Keep eyes on the future development of the Japan-Russian collaboration to this direction. Stay tuned.