All posts by Takeo HARADA

About Takeo HARADA

CEO and Represenrative, Institute for International Strategy and Information Analysis, Inc. (IISIA) Former career diplomat (specialist for Germany, European affairs and DPRK) Author of various books on financial capitalism, information literacy, risk scenario making, and Japan

We Need Freedom of Movement (URGENTLY).

I suppose almost all of you read this article at home, since governments of major countries ordered you to stay home as preventive measure against COVID-19. Being forced to do…

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Emergency Declaration in Japan and Crisis of Water.

Whenever governmental authorities plan to show their powers, nobody can’t keep it secret and we can’t fall asleep till the late night while listening to various rumors and suspicions one after another. It was also the case for yesterday’s night in Tokyo, the capital of Japan.

Even though Japanese mass media never refers officially, almost all the local journalists and reporters are quite aware the Government of Japan is about to declare the country’s emergency due to the new type of coronavirus (COVID-19) and take a series of tough measures against freedom of the Japanese citizens. According to information I succeeded to collect so far, there are three scenarios, of which the one will be realized very soon as follows:

abe_COVID19

-Scenario 1: Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo ABE will mention Japan’s emergency declaration during his media conference of today’s evening (from 18:00 JST).

-Scenario 2: The emergence declaration will be released on the forthcoming Monday, 30 March.

-Scenario 3: To avoid any turmoil in the stock and financial market till the end of March, the GOJ will declare Japan’s emergency due to the pandemic on 1 April (NOT as April fool).

 

The emergency declaration will be released legally based on the amendment to Act on Special Measures concerning Pandemics approved by the Japanese Diet in the middle of this month. The Act prepares three steps GOJ can and may take in accordance with levels of pandemics, while it is supposed to regard the current situation in Japan due to COVID-19 as the second stage and will take strict measures to prevent from the infectious disease’s overshooting.

Well, as far as we observe the situation in a superficial manner, there is nothing particular we should pick up for discussion here. However, in the course of time, I’ve been becoming aware there IS something remarkable behind all the stories concerning “lockdown” and “overshooting” etc., as the following:

-Governments of major countries ridiculously coordinate to take similar measures to combat COVID-19 within the same time framework (from the latter half of March to the end of April) even beyond the difference of political and ideological directions except for PRC.

-As far as our institute, IISIA, is informed, the Government of Russian Federation under the leadership of Vladimir Putin has been regarding the beginning of the forthcoming May (around 9 May, 2020) will be the decisive milestone for the global community as a whole with dramatic change of its entire order.

-Even though Prime Minister Shinzo ABE and his close allies in the Japanese politics made tremendous efforts to hold the Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo in this year, the Japan’s National Security Secretariat (the Japanese type of “CIA”) seems to have worked rather on this emergency declaration and its relevant measures and policies which would inevitably blocks preparations for the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 and dramatically change the daily life of ordinary people in large cities such as Tokyo. We should wonder who actually leads to do so even against the highest political will.

-Last but not the least, from 17 April, 2020, Japan will de facto hold two “Emperors”. His Imperial Highness Prince Akishino will be officially acknowledged as the heir to the Imperial throne by holding a national celebration. Of course, His Imperial Majesty Emperor of Japan is his brother. However, imagine what will take place if we’ll observe salient differences of both behavior, thought and comment between them. This will be dramatized if the younger brother will sooner or later move his residence to Kyoto, the ancient capital of Japan due to the pandemic (together with his brother and mother, Their Majesties Emperor and Empress Emeritus of Japan). The older brother may not and won’t follow them because the Imperial Palace is officially located in Tokyo since the Meiji Restoration.

 

As long as we remain within the previous framework of thinking, we never figure out what is about to happen in the realities at all, I think. Only if we jump out of it and succeed to include things and issues “out of the box”, we finally find out the coronavirus is just an excuse for the new emerging world which shall be, of course, financed and controlled with every new thing and person.

A wise man, who’s traditionally standing very close the Japanese Imperial Household, kindly suggested to me the key word in this regard is the forthcoming dramatic shortage of “liquidity”. But what liquidity do we have to focus on from now on? A few days ago, the secretariat of World Water Council informed me that I’m appointed to be a part of an Action Group for 9th World Water Forum to be held in late March in Dakar. Deeply thinking about the emerging crisis of “liquidity” we’re about to face, I’ll enthusiastically work on making a brand-new global agenda together with my friends and colleagues of the forum from now on (By the way, His Majesty Emperor of Japan has also enthusiastically committed himself to this issue “water” and the forum.). Stay tuned.

No More Shinzo Abe’s Noble Lie, Please.

While some parts of the global community, particularly European countries, are still suffering from the on-going wide spread of COVID-19, Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan, just gets an old…

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Beyond “Black Days” in the Market: What’s Next?

As my institute “IISIA” correctly had forecasted since the last week of February 2020, the global financial market dramatically tumbled and reached its selling climax last week. Amid the financial turmoil, almost everybody seems to talk about the emerging recession of the world economy. Well, I fully understand such a sentiment in the society, however, this is unfortunately not the case. Why?

Apart from individual retail investors, nobody among leading institutional investors refers to “recession” actually. For him/her, there is ONLY volatilities, which enable him/her make profits. Thus, “going-down” in the market is, at least for him/her, welcome, as long as he/she can be well prepared in advance. The only question is, therefore, how long it will take before fixing his/her profit with deals.

In this regard, the current situation in the global financial market is quite easy to understand, conditioned that you’re well aware of the golden rule for state leadership in terms of governance of national economy. When the nation state’s economy flourishes, supply surpasses demand sooner or later. To avoid rapid recession due to such a situation, the government used to either officially or unofficially begin wars for increasing demands. This is exactly why the modern history has been always accompanied with devastating wars among nations.

The point is none of the current political leaders in the world can’t follow this golden rule because of two reasons: To execute a physical “war”, they’re urged to collect a huge amount of money. Facing accumulating sovereign debts, they’re awfully reluctant to do so in order not to fall into national default, a nightmare for political leaders. Having said that, even Donald Trump and Xi Jinping has domestically enough support in their societies to force their citizens to go to the battlefield. Particularly, Donald Trump really loves to do “verbal” wars through Twitters, but never declares a real “physical” war against his alleged “enemy countries”. This is also the case for other leaders of major countries including Europe, China and even Japan.

In this context, it’s COVID-19 (new coronavirus) that really matters to these poor political leaders. Due to spread of the virus, all the governments on the globe may now release their “emergency declaration” and limit physical and economic activities of their citizens. That is, of course, VERY VERY bad for national economies, which inevitably leads us to a “recession-like situation”. Nevertheless, the situation can be controlled both politically and artificially.

TOKYO_STOCK_MARKET_1

In the Tokyo stock market, NIKKEI 225 index recently abruptly fell down to 19,500 point at first, and then to 17500, while mass media loudly reported investors are in fear of wider spread of coronavirus in the Japanese society. As mentioned above, IISIA, my institute has been publicly announcing its forecast on the future financial market saying it’s about rather to rocket, which would be described “the very last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” afterwards. Having viewed the latest changes in the Tokyo stock market, I’m firmly confident facts will follow our forecast very soon.

17,500 point of NIKKEI 225 index is closely connected with irreversible insolvency of Bank of Japan, which has massively bought ETFs in the market since 2012. 19.500 point means, according to BOJ’s disclosed balance sheet, BOJ stops to enjoy profit due to increasing price of Japanese stocks. In short, BOJ simply returns to its “ground zero” and will begin to make the Tokyo stock market rocket again from 16 March, 2020, while Government of Japan suddenly starts to announce the domestic situation related to COVID-19 is allegedly under control. We’re just viewing Japanese style of “nobles oblige”, I think.

While other major economies still pretend to suffer from the wide and devastating spread of the new coronavirus, Japan tends to be regarded as “top runner” or even “last resort” in the financial market very soon. The GOJ is forced to persuade all the stakeholders that the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 shall be held according to its officially fixed schedule. To do so, GOJ will make use of all means including the next stage of quantitative easing by BOJ and withdrawal of the increase of consumption tax from 10 to 8 percent, which obviously oppressed further recovery of Japanese national economy. To Japan, special attention should be tentatively paid, since US and EU rather concentrate on decreasing the velocity of their economies’ growth by using the “COVID-19” trick. To wrap up, I herewith wanna say the Japanese stock market will rocket at least two months from 16 March, 2020, until the time when the Tokyo Summer Olympic Games in 2020 will be officially cancelled due to the on-going pandemic despite all the measures taken by GOJ.

Tokyo_Olympic_Games2020_1

Well, asking myself again, why Japan?? If you would belong to the gentlemen’s club called “freemasonry”, you’d be quite aware Japan is the nation which always gets breakthroughs for the sake of other parts of the world (Even though I’m not a member of the club, an Asian deep throat standing very close to me, once told this face with a written evidence.). What the global leaders expect to see is a “gnostic revolution of the world”. To make it happen, Japan shall be enough oppressed to jump into another dimension by thinking and doing outside the box. According to the Le Chatelier’s principle, Japan needs to be raised and go up dramatically, so as to go down drastically. The above shown “last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” with highly increasing stock price since 16 March, 2020 is strongly needed, so that the global leadership will be fully satisfied to see the next stage of the human civilization. The latest “Black Days” are the very beginning of the final story, being combined with the middle-sized earthquake in NOTO Peninsula in the midnight of 12 March, 2020. Stay tuned.

Next Target: Russia. What Shall Be Done?

While Xi Jinping’s state visit obviously failed to be realized at this juncture, Japanese PM Shinzo Abe’s diplomacy aims at another goal right now: Russia. Mass media don’t pay both…

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【PUBLIC APPEAL】We Need Your URGENT Support.

The number of COVID-19 patients is dramatically increasing all over the world. Even though medial scientists are jointly making best efforts to find final solutions of this disease, it obviously takes much longer time than expected before. Everybody knows we’re facing the fatal pandemic, however, there is no ultimate solution so far. Yes, at least “SO FAR”.
Recently, a gentleman kindly paid a short visit to my office in Tokyo. The gentleman with Japanese nationality (hereafter “Mr. X”) is actually well known as “the man behind door” in politics, finance and bureaucracy of Japan. He was once banker of one of the prominent Japanese banks, while he got involved in the world of intelligence. Even Her Majesty Elizabeth II knows his name as one of the top agents on behalf of Japan’s national interest. After suspension of communication, he and I agreed to resume our conversation in terms of issues shaking the entire global community. And this time, he abruptly brought a completely new issue onto the discussion table with me.

“I’m quite sure you’re familiar with the name of “Mr. Motoaki SAITO”, aren’t you?”, he began to tell. Of course, I know the name, but not the person as such. Despite come contacts and routs to the current Japanese political leadership, I’m intentionally keeping certain distance from politicians and bureaucrats on the top level here in Japan. As CEO of my own institute dealing with making future scenarios for Japan and the rest of the world, the golden rule of the profession I shall follow is to get not too much closer to one specific issue and issue. From my viewpoint, all the things, events and issues are equal to be analyzed and projected on the future. Normally, I don’t stick to a single issue or person who appears and disappears on screen of my PC.
But this time is different. This guy, Mr. Motoaki SAITO, will be our savior jointly with his team of Japanese legendary IT engineers, who have continuously collaborated for more than 25 years in Tokyo. First, look at the short video below.

To find out the final solution of diseases caused by COVID-19 and other new types of virus, we’re urged to develop NGS technology (=next generation sequence technology). After Illumina in US had dominated more than half of the relevant market related to Human Genome, a Chinese company called “MGI” succeeded to become superior to Illumina in October 2019 with its new product “T7”. Nevertheless, it’s still insufficient to completely analyze Human Genome, as all the experts in the world are fully aware. All we need is simply the high-speed processor, which successfully works unprecedented times faster than previous competitors.
In Japan, my mother country, we have the final solution in this regard. This guy, Motoaki SAITO and his team has been developing ultra-high speed processor in “PEZY Computing” and analyzing technology of Human Genome in “Infinite Curation”, which will eventually enable us analyze Human Genome completely and fast enough to combat the pandemic due to COVID-19, and thus  lead us to the new world without any diseases, from which we’re forced to suffer. On behalf of the humankind’s interest, Mr. X had decided to financially and politically support Mr. SAITO’s team and its tough negotiations with top runners in the market such as MGI in PRC. “Because of our common future and interest in the current and future global community, I feel urged to give needed assistance to realize this project with the brilliant high-technology made in Japan”, Mr. X said. That was entirely persuasive to my heart, as our institute’s seeking the way to “Pax Japonica”, a completely change of the global community based on experience and knowledge of the Japanese for the sake of all the human beings.

pezycomputing_1

The problem is, to be honest, neither money nor technology. The point is typical but trivial jealousy in the Japanese society, because of which our poor serial entrepreneur with the title of DMSc, Motoaki SAITO, was politically prosecuted and will be soon sentenced in the Tokyo District Court. Actually, I don’t care the detail of such a political matter, since he apparently doesn’t have any political sense not to get too much closer to politics. And as far as I know, some parts of Japanese intelligence world around Prime Minister Shinzo ABE seems to have something to do with this event.
Having said that, I’m quite confident that WE urgently need this technology developed by SAITO’s team, which enables us to use the world-best processing capability (20.0 THLOPS (64 bit)). This is, of course, much better and faster as well than Eron Musk’s project. For example, only 2 percent of DNA in human body is activated and “not sleeping”, while the rest is “sleeping”, and the latter’s function wasn’t discovered yet. With the team of SAITO’s PEZY-Computing technology, experts close to the project are already informed the incredible fact that this “sleeping” DNA in human body will be activated only if human bodies are technologically “connected to each other (connectome)”, to see and go beyond even the universe. “At the final stage of this development, we’re about to see the goal of the existence of the human beings, or “the God”, I suppose”, Mr. X told me with shinning smile.
All I need is your kind assistance and support to this project. I mean, not financial but public one. I’d highly appreciate if  you and your (public/official) organization would kindly give Mr. SAITO’s team some opportunities to deliver public speeches regarding the potentiality of this unprecedented IT technology for the global common goods towards the future. If possible, we wanna collect your and audience’s signatures for petition. Thanks to your collective support in the public, we can collectively make use of this technology made in Japan to effectively combat against the on-going devastating pandemics, such as COVID-19 and others. Please, please help me! Don’t hesitate to contact me if you have any good ideas and proposals. Look forward to hearing from you by return.

USD, Gold and Xi Jinping.

Taking thoroughly into account all the remarkable changes and trends in the global financial market, my institute, IISIA, tries to update its future scenario everyday. At this juncture, there are…

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Pandemic and Divided Imperial Household in Japan.

As I pointed out previously, the turmoil due to pandemic from Wuhan/PRC just reached Tokyo, the capital of Japan. From yesterday evening, Japanese mass media repeatedly report a branch of…

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Outbreak of “TOKYO Virus” and Le Chatelier’s Principle

Expansion of the coronavirus from Wuhan never stops. As we all expected, the number of patients is steadily increasingly, and nobody knows when it’ll be fully controlled. And yesterday, the…

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This Is NOT the End of Story. What’s Next?

OnBoard_202002

Yesterday, I’ve got an amazing message from my staff in Tokyo, which I had awaited enthusiastically. The message I’ve got on board from Sapporo to Osaka said the Student Council of College of Liberal Arts at the University of Tokyo officially decided to invite me as lecturer of self-organized but acknowledged seminar for the forthcoming summer semester in 2020. 14 years have already passed, since I left my alma mater with my last words to students. In my seminar, I’ll try to both theoretically and practically explain how to understand methodology of forecasting, upon which young and talented students at the top university in Japan should base their leadership, self-management and innovation for all. In the midst of current turmoil in the global community, it’s the knowledge and experience on this methodology, or “information literacy (=open source intelligence combined with future scenario making and leadership for innovation)” according to our institute’s methodology that really matter to the younger generation.

As I’ve been predicted from the very beginning of last (not this) year, escalation of horrifying Wuhan Virus never stops after I posted my last column onto this weblog. The number of dead due to this virus, which even PRC government officially admitted and announced, is steadily increasing. Particularly in Europe, not only Chinese but all the Asian people are being gradually rejected to stay there, which sounds step by step “xenophobic”. Many countries take much more draconic measures to control the spreading virus by cutting off cross-border routes to PRC (Russia), and isolating all the civil passengers from Wuhan who are evacuated by official flights (US). As far as I correctly know, Japan is the only country which doesn’t hesitate to make a public announcement that even Chinese tourists are still “welcome” into the Japanese territory. The Government of Japan is obviously unprepared to combat such a disaster we’re now facing. Its reactions and measures are too late and not well calculated, which clearly shows to the public that there is NO future scenario for appropriate risk management within the GOJ.
To make sure, I herewith underline this is NOT the end of the whole story. As I wrote down last time, this is just the very beginning. A series of rather financial and economic crisis will follow very soon, with which pandemic and other natural disasters such as megatyphoon will finally cause total change of our mindset and brain system. In the political, financial and economic realities, we, the Japanese, will soon see the following phenomena in our society:

*The Summer Olympic Games 2020 in Tokyo will get canceled due to pandemic. Sooner or later, IOC will make the final decision public accordingly, in collaboration with WHO. But make sure not only Wuhan Virus but other new types (“variant virus”. Tokyo Virus??) could be rather paid attention to.
*Real estate market in Tokyo will hereby collapse or lead to selling climax, since major investors originally planned to their real estates only after the Olympic Games.
*Oil price will rocket because “physical war” will get started based on Trump’s ME peace plan which was not unanimously accepted in the region. The trend will be accelerated since oil producing countries make effort to lead oil price higher by production cut.
*Facing the new “oil shock”, Japan’s economy will immediately get into “stagflation”, which will force Bank of Japan to stop purchase of various assets (“Quantitative Easing”).
*All these crisis and disasters will forcibly lead to Japan’s default, which will trigger the beginning of “Gnosticistic revolution” of the human civilization. According to our institute’s tentative conclusion, this is exactly why UN needs a new, comprehensive agenda (UN 75) apart from “SDGs”, which is regarded as obsolete.

What is “Gnosticistic revolution”? Why from Japan? To answer your legitime questions, our institute recently published our latest future scenario entitled “Tochter aus Elysium”. At this juncture, only Japanese version is available (Sorry). However, if all of you, dear friends and colleagues abroad, kindly request, we’ll work on its English version. Please leave your comments and requests in this regard. In advance, thanks for your kind attention.

TochterAusElysium