Category Archives: Uncategorized

Mr. Wang, Now It’s Your Turn!

Our famous “Great Leader” Kim Jong-un, who was once reported to have passed away, abruptly appeared on DPRK’s state media with his beloved younger sister Yo Jong. Their blood tie is, as I correctly pointed out previously, much more stronger than the rumor some western media enthusiastically spread that the big brother would be soon succeeded by Kim Pyong-il, who have been posted as Ambassador of DPRK to a series of Eastern European countries like “der fliegende Holländer”. Well, the rumor just turned out to be false. The next question we have to work on right now is who stood behind the door of this fake story.

The analysis I’m just going to write down may not be acceptable for the major part of my friends and colleagues living in PRC, however, Japan, my mother country, constitutionally guarantees freedom of speech. Thus, I don’t hesitate to herewith express my own analysis in detail on what actually happened and will take place very soon.

As far as our institute, IISIA, has been correctly informed so far, the real “loser” of the game in terms of the alleged “death” of Kim Jong-un, which was, again, officially denied, is Wang Qishan, Vice President of PRC. The story actually got back to 2018,when I heard from my closest business partner in the global financial market based in Singapore that his prominent team was helping the opposition part of the political leadership against Xi Jingpin in PRC to transfer the huge amount of its money from bank accounts of “Zhongnanhai” to private banks located in Panama. While slightly talking about this issue, my business partner, to whom even Li Ka Shing in Hong Kong invested, called Kim Jong-un a “nasty little but fat boy”. I spontaneously felt that the money to be transferred shall be somehow connected with the next step of DPRK.

WangQishan

The point is the Vice President just is said to have tried to suppress upheavals in Hong Kong with a newly developed B-weapon of virus from a western country, however, in vain. Instead, his subordinate “experts” mishandled the virus and spread it particularly in Wuhan city. This is, according to our institute’s deep throat in Chinese ethnic intelligence sources, the actual beginning of all the events and issues related to COVID-19. Now that you just read this analysis, you can immediately grasp why PRC government is now harshly blaming US for the on-going pandemic, while US government is attacking the former for mishandling the new coronavirus. Yes, as you might have thought so, a major pharmaceutical company based in US succeeded to sell the newly developed virus to Wang Qishan’s team, even though it simultaneously handed over the effective vaccine against COVID-19 to the Chinese client. As far as IISIA is well informed, the vaccine does exist already. Nevertheless, the company pretends as if such a vaccine was never successfully developed so far.

As the forthcoming session of National People’s Congress in PRC is approaching right now, Wang Qishan, who has been regarded as a “good friend of US”, is being forced to execute a feint operation so as not to be officially blamed for the misconduct in terms of COVID-19 virus. Of course, it’s inevitable to take the consequences from the pandemic started from the City of Wuhan. However, if something much more significant and acute as well would take place just before the NPC session, which is announced to be held from May 22 after the recent postponement, all the delegates will concentrate on this new event while underestimating the COVID-19 issues.

The feint operation in terms of Kim Jong-un, who’s obviously NOT a good friend of PRC, failed, and the most important person who knows everything about these issues and events is said to have disappeared. Mr. Wang is left alone and has to think about how to be well prepared for any fatal political attacks from Xi Jinping’s team before and during the NPC session. The question is whether Wang Qishan and his colleagues will soon take the next step of “preemptive attack” against the President. Our institute is at this juncture of the opinion the answer is YES. The approaching session of NPC will set the definitive milestone to the next phase of the Chinese history when the People’s Republic will be divided to four parts.

NPC_PRC

What we shall do right now to get well prepared for the world without PRC. This is the conclusion of the so-called “China Problem”, on which the western world except for Japan have been traditionally working on from the 19th Century. Stay alarmed. According to our institute’s estimate, the global community together with its financial market will face the next “sea change” from May 12 and reach the climax of the trend on 17. Stay tuned.

Dear Great Leader Jong-un and His Beloved Sister.

Recently, western mass media abruptly reported Kim Jong-un, “Great Leader” in DPRK, seems to have fallen into a critical condition after a medical operation, which US President Donald Trump didn’t confirm officially. Media reports from ROK also denied such a possibility and insisted the “Great Leader” safely stays with his high-ranking officials in the suburb of the country.

As you might have been already well informed, I am an expert on DPRK issues since I was given opportunities to serve as Chief Desk Officer for Japan’s diplomacy vis-à-vis DPRK in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Tokyo (from 2003 to 2005). Based on experiences I obtained as “insider” of the Japanese diplomatic service, I’ve been further gathering information and intelligence on this matter. While professionally doing so as CEO of my own think tank on global affairs, I sometimes dream of a future scenario of DPRK and the Korean Peninsula as a whole. The following is my own “fictional” version of what would take place there in the very near future:
Kim Yo Jong, a beloved sister of the “Great Leader”, succeeds the highest power of DPRK, after Kim Jong-un disappeared from official occasions for unknown reasons. Of course, western mass media suspect of his death, but nobody could verify the authenticity of such a suspicion. Governments of major countries, particularly US Government, begin to imply their “wishful thinking” that the new leader would change the country’s policy from its traditional isolationism to engagement to the global community, since she is female and should have other way of thinking than her male predecessors.
The point is “something terrible” such as“millennium eruption of Mt. Paektu will happen soon after her inauguration. Rejecting any proposal from other major countries to give human assistance due to the unprecedented natural disaster, Yo Jong’s government will publicly appeal to ROK’s government under the leadership of President Moon Jae-in to combat negative impacts of this historical event together. President Moon Jae-in, who is well known as a de dacto supporter of DPRK in left wing of political scenes in ROK, will accept this offer without any reservations, and the two Korean nations will immediately get started with their collaboration to overcome widespread human suffering caused by the “millennium eruption”.

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In the course of time, the people living in the Korean Peninsula will sooner or later it’s quite “natural” that they will unite beyond borders, facing the successful collaboration after the natural disaster between the North and South. Facing such a psychological “Detante” among the ordinary people of the both nations, Kim Yo Jong and her government will make the second offer to hold a “free election” on the future of the Korean Peninsula with the South. There will be no reason for Moon Jae-in and his political colleagues to reject such a offer “for the sake of the entire Korean people”. As a result of the “free election”, which shall be well observed by third countries dispatched by UN, a new federation of the Koreans will be built up both politically and legally, of which the name could be “Koryo Federation”. A Janus-faced federation with both an “free and democratic” entrance (ROK) and “authoritarian and out-law” exit (DPRK).
Now, you may wonder who the winner of this game can be. My answer is definitely the South. The creation of this Korean federation will inevitably lead to a currency reform in the Peninsula. Looking back to the German Unification in 1990, the currencies (“Won”) of both countries shall be equally valued, while DPRK Won will be highly appreciated compared with ROK Won. Those who could succeed to obtain any financial assets in DPRK would immensely get earned from this currency reform, while the ordinary people in the South would be forced to offset all the cost. Having said that, the only “way-out” for the poor South Koreans will be to find out an appropriate third party to pay all the costs for the sake of the entire Korean people. Who shall be sacrificed?

DPRK_whitehouse

Let’s get back to the reality. Last year, I confidentially contacted Mr. Lee Chol, one of the “prominent” spymasters in Pyongyang and scenario write of all the current diplomatic events including DPRK such as bilateral summits between Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump, face to face in Dalian (PRC), while the leadership of a South Korean political foundation kindly arranged and attended the meeting. The spymaster, who is recently allowed to appear on a South Korean popular film on espionage thanks to his close friendship with Seoul, explained all the information political leaders of the nation such as Kim Jong-un and Yo Jong gathered in meetings with foreign counterparts, is being gathered to his team and analyzed. Mr. Lee Chol is a “shadow man” for Mr. Park Chol, one of the significant members of the DPRK mission to the White House in 2019. Mr. Lee said without any hesitation, “We thoroughly informed your Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide SUGA (Government of Japan) of everything DPRK expects to make happen”. In addition, he underlined Pyongyang is awfully fed up with the repeated request of USG for denuclearization in the Korean Peninsula. “What we sincerely need is to hold a trilateral summit among DPRK, ROK and Japan”, he insisted.
Another spymaster of ROK, of which a brother was educated even in Kim Il-sun University in Pyongyang, kindly informed me that the North and South had already agreed on a common and fundamental future scenario of the entire Korean Peninsula, at least on the level of intelligence agencies. From my viewpoint, the above-mentioned trilateral summit is included in this future strategic scenario.
Recalling of my own experience that the Japanese Imperial Household regards DRPK as “useless” from the highest viewpoint of Japan’s nation, I tried to persuade Mr. Lee Chol to convey my message that the “Great Leader” and his beloved sister shall be take into account any backlash if they won’t consider reconciliation with the Japanese Imperial Family. Obviously, the scenario writer of DPRK’s diplomacy had never thought of this matter, and I had the impression he correctly understood what I meant to say in this regard.
The history proves that Japan, my own country, is changed, whenever the situation in the Korean Peninsula turns out to be changed fundamentally. It’s the high time to see the history repeats itself, I think. Stay tuned.

Resurrection of Japan as Number One in the Post-Corona Phase. Why?

Even though the public opinion can’t fully catch up, some major countries’ governments officially decided they lift parts of tough regulations against further spread of COVID-19. Their so-called “experts” try to argue their countries have the peak of infection with the virus left behind, however, it’s quite obvious that this “X-Day” was pre-determined among these western major countries. From 16 April, they abruptly got started with discussion about reconstruction of national economies and societies in the Post-Corona phase. The statistics they often mention are, again, not fully persuasive to people on the street, therefore, they proceed but only cautiously to “normality” of their daily life.

In my country, Japan, the situation is completely different. Despite the fact she is one of the biggest neighbor countries for PRC, the very starting point of panic due to COVID-19, Prime Minister Shinzo ABE and his government has just announced a state of emergency for not only some prefectures such as Tokio, but the whole country. The ABE administration is being harshly criticized because of its typical Japanese “Too-Late and Too-Little” measure that it will provide in principle all the Japanese nationals with 100,000 JPY (hopefully very soon). Even though there is (and from my viewpoint: “won’t be”) no “overshooting” in terms of the patients infected with COVID-19 here in Japan, Japanese mass media tend to lead the people to join the discussion on how to enjoy their life “With-Corona (not Post-Corona)”, which I personally ridiculous. Only the stock market in Tokio, which is affected rather by trends of the global market, sharply begins to soar these days in spite of the accelerated man-made stagnation of the economy and society here in Japan.

Getting back to the issue on the “Post-Corona” phase, my institute, IISIA, analyzes at this juncture that Japan will be picked up and highlighted both financially and socially by a process of elimination from now on in the global community. Obviously, nobody and no singly major world-class think tanks (or even “Ian Bremmer” of Eurasia Group) insist such a thesis to the public, nevertheless, leading experienced investors related to the Japanese financial market both secretly and unanimously reach the same conclusion and begin to take appropriate measure to make the highest profits from such an unprecedented trend of the world history. To be honest, they imagine Nikkei 225 index would surpass even 50,000 JPY (without such currency manipulation as GOJ did from 2012) if they’d be lucky enough. Well, this is still a rumor in the market, which can, however, turn out to be proven in the very near future, I firmly believe.

Why will Japan be highlighted in the Post-Corona phase? According to the analysis of IISIA, there are three points we have to pay attention to:

*Abrupt crash of crude oil price, which Japan, a country heavily relying on imported energy resources, takes advantage of, as she successfully did from 1987 to 1990 (“Heisei bubble economy”).

*Quantitative easing of immense scale in- and outside Japan, which Japan takes advantage of, according to the successful model in the late 1980s.

*Process of Elimination works, as Japan can be regarded as “safe haven” with both relatively stabilized public healthcare (extremely low death rate due to COVID-19) and highly developed economies under the “rule of law” compared with US, Europe and China. Other than global mass media, the leadership of WHO is now arguing discretely in the house that the second wave of pandemic with global scale will attack the human beings from 2022 to 2025, conditioned that fundamental change of global public healthcare wouldn’t take place immediately. From now on, it’s not money but our own life that really matters. And thanks to process of elimination tested by the affluent people particularly in PRC, they will rush into Japan’s territory as soon as the border will be opened.

This means, of course, the end of the previous trend of “globalism”. The Post-Corona phase is simultaneously the era of Post-Globalism. In this new era, the countries which have adapted themselves to globalism successfully and profitably as well, will be abandoned and disregarded, while another country is suddenly prioritized, which is rather incapable of swift adaptation to financial capitalism and has incurred ridicule from the rest of the world. That’s exactly Japan that unintentionally succeeded to protect against immense risks caused by globalism such as COVID-19 pandemic.

JapanAirlinesChart20200418

Having said that, you, dear readers, never agree with me on this matter, I’m afraid. It’s OK, since our institute dedicating itself entirely to making future scenario of Japan and the global community, is quite familiar with such an initial refusal to the future reality it sometimes picks up. Only facts to be realized after our forecasting can persuade you. Let’s see… but don’t forget to buy some shares of Japanese airlines, wings of “Pax Japonica”. Stay tuned.

Japan’s Imperial “Cain and Abel”?

Every time I finish to write down articles posted to this official weblog, I used to inform my friends and colleagues working for world-class think tanks. Thinking of that, I would say, as long as you stick to the surface of political and economic realities in the global community, you can never become aware of the fact not US presidency but Japanese Imperial Household has immense influence to the world order. At this juncture, I believe, however, you can’t understand it and tend to strongly doubt Japan’s Imperial Family holds such a power vis-à-vis the entire world. Well, let’s take a look at the following picture taken on the occasion of US President Barack Obama’s state visit to Japan. Who bowed to whom?

obama_emperor

In this regard, a significant incident is taking place in Japan. An incident, which has much immense impact than even COVID-19 virus and its infectious diseases we’ve been suffering from. His Imperial Highness Prince Akishino, younger brother of the current Japanese Emperor (His Imperial Majesty Naruhito), may not hold his own inaugural ceremony to Imperial Heir on 19 April of this year. The reason is, of course, the on-going unprecedented spread of COVID-19, for which Government of Japan recently declared a state of emergency as I mentioned herewith beforehand.

The point is we wouldn’t have any Japanese Emperor in case of unforeseen incident to H. I. M. Emperor Naruhito, as long as the ceremony won’t be officially held. Since the then Emperor Akihito abdicated, such a vacuum of Japan’s Imperial Authority emerged last year. This time, almost the same vacuum will repeat to appear due to the postponed ceremony of Imperial Heir. From my viewpoint, as a circumstantial evidence of this situation’s importance, H. I. M. Emperor Naruhito donated his own “private” money to humanitarian activities to support children infected with COVID-19 in Japan (A preventive measure against any future challenge to his authority?).

The worst scenario could include the possibility the authenticity of His Imperial Majesty’s existence would draw extremely negative attention due to either event or incident which would be take place in the very near future. Once such a negative trend against Japan’s current Emperor’s authority would emerge, this could be spread and shared by social media in the Japanese society at first, and then to the whole world. At the next stage, the people will try to find out another “appropriate” one as the next holder of Japanese Imperial Authority, but for a while, in vain, because H. I. H. Prince Akishino’s inaugural ceremony to Imperial Heir is, as I touched upon above, being suspended. And H. I. M. Emperor Emeritus Akihito is just the former one and may not come back to the throne any more. An unprecedented, historical vacuum of Japan’s Imperial Authority will suddenly appear, potentially, from 19 April, 2020.

Again, this will give an immense impact to all the other parts of the world, including US and Europe, since nations other than Japan heavily rely on good will of Japanese Imperial Household in terms of provision of its own private asset beyond constitutional restriction.

Well, let’s see what will take place due to this embarrassing postponement in Tokyo. I’m terribly concerned about what will trigger historical and decisive turmoil around Japan’s Imperial Household, which could copy the legend of “Cain and Abel” in the Old Testament. Stay tuned.

Tomorrow:Emergency Declaration to Be Released in Japan.

mask_shinzo_abe

Mr. X, our deep throat in the Japanese INTEL world, just informed me kindly that Japan’s PM Shinzo Abe will eventually make up his mind tomorrow (6 April, 2020 (JST)) to release an emergency declaration against COVID-19. If it’ll be the case, major cities in Japan, particularly Tokyo, will be “locked down” so that the on-going spread of the infectious disease will be effectively stopped.

The point is ONLY Shinzo Abe is both legally and politically entitled to make the ultimate decision. Well, let’s see. Stay tuned.

(*For those who wanna get informed of much more related detail of this issue and other future trends in the market and global community: Check out my latest voice report (released on 3 April, 2020) with this URL (Unfortunately only in Japanese)

音声レポート「週刊・原田武夫」最新号(2020年4月3日号)はこちらをクリックしてお聞きください(日本語のみ)

We Need Freedom of Movement (URGENTLY).

I suppose almost all of you read this article at home, since governments of major countries ordered you to stay home as preventive measure against COVID-19. Being forced to do so, you must feel rather nervous and frustrated to see the situation seems to never have become better than before. Actually, the wide spread of COVID-19 virus is accelerating, and even “experts” can’t exactly forecast when it will come to an end.

From my viewpoint, what we shall do is to be much more realistic in this regard. The crisis of“Black Death” in 14th Century continued from 1348 to 1371 (23 years!), and it killed one fourth of the then whole population in Europe. This unprecedented infectious disease led the people to change their mindset, thoughts and behavior entirely, which is now called “Renaissance”.

The point is who survived despite the “Black Death” and enlarged their powers in the new era? In this context, we shall remember the name of “House of Medici”, which brushed up the European financial system from the medieval and succeeded to acquire its own dominant position. How could the House’s members save their life?? The answer is quite simple: They just moved to other places as soon as they were informed affected individual of “Black Death” was found near their tentative residence. In short, their policy was “Go away and save life”.

Having said that, the above-mentioned current governmental policy against COVID-19 virus can’t fully persuade me to stay at home. Of course, all of us shall follow the authorities’ instruction for prevention in our daily life, such as “washing hands carefully” and “gargling thoroughly”. However, nobody can’t guarantee the place where you’re right now isn’t polluted with the virus. And as long as no single appropriate vaccine will be produced and distributed to the public, you always face the same risk, wherever you are (Sorry, but this is the fact you can never deny.). The only way out for you is just to go away from the place where affected persons are found, to another place where the risk seems to be minimum (at least at this juncture). All the governments can’t accept this prudence of House of Medici “Go away and save life”, since this surely cause massive waves of migrants even beyond borders and inevitably collapse of nation states. Thus, the governments repeat their “noble lie” that you shall stay at home to prevent from further spread of COVID-19.

If the global leadership and your governments’ leaders really want to suppress the pandemic most effectively, they shall focus on not such a pseudo-physical measure but immune system of human body. To your surprise, almost nothing about human immune system is medically known, and we’re urged to both globally and jointly take appropriate measures to elucidate its nature. To make it happen, a comprehensive genome analysis in terms of both COVID-19 virus and affected individual’s bodies has to be done immediately by using ultramodern supercomputers. That’s why I recently appealed to the public Japan-made supercomputer should be highlighted in this regard. When you would succeed to find out how to enrich immunity of human body completely, you don’t need to stay at home in principle, and can instead go away to wherever you like. The current quarantine policy shall be understood only as a tentative one.

There is another reason of immense scale for following “Go way and save life” principle, particularly in East Asia. Recently, the expert committee of Government of Japan released its analysis on future eruption of Mt. Fuji, the biggest symbolic mountain in Japan, which almost stunned the Japanese public opinion. Through this channel, I want to rather highlight it not Mt. Fuji but other big mountains such as “Mt. Paektu (백두산/长白山)” in DPRK that acutely matters according to media reports since the last year. Once the volcano would erupt abruptly, it would discharge ten times amount of volcanic ash by the eruption of Eyjafjallajokull in 2010 in Iceland (“Millennium Eruption”!!). The eruption as such won’t cause disaster, but unprecedented crisis may take place afterwards. Heavy rain on facilities of power generation and transmission with immense amount of volcanic ash immediately leads to total “blackout”. And sudden lackness and extreme shortage of electricity stop almost all the activities of modern civilization. And you’re forced to choose either to stay at home without electricity, or to go away and save life by finding out a place where you can get connected to sufficient electricity.

Paektu_Mountain

Map-showing-the-location-of-Paektu-volcano-and-associated-tephra-fallout-and-gas-yields
(Kayla Locavino et al)

Unprecedented crisis one after another. I firmly believe it’s the high time for all of us to contemplate how we should change our previous mindset produced with “modernity” after Renaissance. Only when we’ll make up our mind to get rid of one thing, we’ll be able to get a new and appropriate one. What instead of “modernity”? That’s the ultimate question we have to urgently solve together. Stay tuned.

Emergency Declaration in Japan and Crisis of Water.

Whenever governmental authorities plan to show their powers, nobody can’t keep it secret and we can’t fall asleep till the late night while listening to various rumors and suspicions one after another. It was also the case for yesterday’s night in Tokyo, the capital of Japan.

Even though Japanese mass media never refers officially, almost all the local journalists and reporters are quite aware the Government of Japan is about to declare the country’s emergency due to the new type of coronavirus (COVID-19) and take a series of tough measures against freedom of the Japanese citizens. According to information I succeeded to collect so far, there are three scenarios, of which the one will be realized very soon as follows:

abe_COVID19

-Scenario 1: Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo ABE will mention Japan’s emergency declaration during his media conference of today’s evening (from 18:00 JST).

-Scenario 2: The emergence declaration will be released on the forthcoming Monday, 30 March.

-Scenario 3: To avoid any turmoil in the stock and financial market till the end of March, the GOJ will declare Japan’s emergency due to the pandemic on 1 April (NOT as April fool).

 

The emergency declaration will be released legally based on the amendment to Act on Special Measures concerning Pandemics approved by the Japanese Diet in the middle of this month. The Act prepares three steps GOJ can and may take in accordance with levels of pandemics, while it is supposed to regard the current situation in Japan due to COVID-19 as the second stage and will take strict measures to prevent from the infectious disease’s overshooting.

Well, as far as we observe the situation in a superficial manner, there is nothing particular we should pick up for discussion here. However, in the course of time, I’ve been becoming aware there IS something remarkable behind all the stories concerning “lockdown” and “overshooting” etc., as the following:

-Governments of major countries ridiculously coordinate to take similar measures to combat COVID-19 within the same time framework (from the latter half of March to the end of April) even beyond the difference of political and ideological directions except for PRC.

-As far as our institute, IISIA, is informed, the Government of Russian Federation under the leadership of Vladimir Putin has been regarding the beginning of the forthcoming May (around 9 May, 2020) will be the decisive milestone for the global community as a whole with dramatic change of its entire order.

-Even though Prime Minister Shinzo ABE and his close allies in the Japanese politics made tremendous efforts to hold the Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo in this year, the Japan’s National Security Secretariat (the Japanese type of “CIA”) seems to have worked rather on this emergency declaration and its relevant measures and policies which would inevitably blocks preparations for the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 and dramatically change the daily life of ordinary people in large cities such as Tokyo. We should wonder who actually leads to do so even against the highest political will.

-Last but not the least, from 17 April, 2020, Japan will de facto hold two “Emperors”. His Imperial Highness Prince Akishino will be officially acknowledged as the heir to the Imperial throne by holding a national celebration. Of course, His Imperial Majesty Emperor of Japan is his brother. However, imagine what will take place if we’ll observe salient differences of both behavior, thought and comment between them. This will be dramatized if the younger brother will sooner or later move his residence to Kyoto, the ancient capital of Japan due to the pandemic (together with his brother and mother, Their Majesties Emperor and Empress Emeritus of Japan). The older brother may not and won’t follow them because the Imperial Palace is officially located in Tokyo since the Meiji Restoration.

 

As long as we remain within the previous framework of thinking, we never figure out what is about to happen in the realities at all, I think. Only if we jump out of it and succeed to include things and issues “out of the box”, we finally find out the coronavirus is just an excuse for the new emerging world which shall be, of course, financed and controlled with every new thing and person.

A wise man, who’s traditionally standing very close the Japanese Imperial Household, kindly suggested to me the key word in this regard is the forthcoming dramatic shortage of “liquidity”. But what liquidity do we have to focus on from now on? A few days ago, the secretariat of World Water Council informed me that I’m appointed to be a part of an Action Group for 9th World Water Forum to be held in late March in Dakar. Deeply thinking about the emerging crisis of “liquidity” we’re about to face, I’ll enthusiastically work on making a brand-new global agenda together with my friends and colleagues of the forum from now on (By the way, His Majesty Emperor of Japan has also enthusiastically committed himself to this issue “water” and the forum.). Stay tuned.

No More Shinzo Abe’s Noble Lie, Please.

While some parts of the global community, particularly European countries, are still suffering from the on-going wide spread of COVID-19, Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan, just gets an old but new headache in politics. The widow of a government official of Ministry of Finance abruptly released to the public what her husband, who had committed a suicide in the midst of controversy, had left in a handwritten farewell note. From objective viewpoint in terms of Japanese politics, this incident will soon lead Shinzo Abe to get a fatal wound in his career as Prime Minister of Japan.

moritomo_1

To understand the story correctly, we have at first to get back to its origin. Akie Abe, the wife of Shinzo Abe and “(political) first lady” of Japan frequently visited the family of Kagoike in Osaka, Japan, who had been planning to build up a new and far conservative elementary school (“Moritomo-Gakuen elementary school). The point is Mr. and Mrs. Kagoike obviously asked Mrs. Akie Abe for political assistance so as to purchase a land for the elementary school with discount price from Ministry of Finance, since they aimed at a property estate as state-owned asset. As far as Japanese mass media reported so far, Mrs. Abe and her staff allegedly “informed” governmental officials in charge of Mr. and Mrs. Kagoike’s wish. And in fact, they succeeded to acquire the real estate and open their own private elementary school, where the pupils were educated with textbooks of far right-wing anachronism.

In the Japanese Diet, PM Shinzo Abe was harshly criticized by opposition parties that this must be an illegal political “pork barrel”, which he, of course, totally denied. A citizen group tried to persuade prosecutors to move against this misconduct directly connected with Mrs. Akie Abe, but indirectly related with PM Shinzo Abe and his political power, however, the Japanese prosecutor did not accept its request and just sealed the indictment. The case seems to be, at least so far, closed.

But now, the card just reverses. Thanks to the handwritten note of Mr. Toshio Akagi, who was forced to keep secret what he had seen, written and done for the sake of the “special request” from the Japanese political leader’s spouse, we all know what the Government of Japan publicly announced and explained jointly with Japanese prosecutors was fake and shall be regarded as a typical example of political “noble lie” in Japan. PM Shinzo Abe immediately released his statement in terms of this matter, but only expressed his deep remorse on the whole story and firmly rejected any kind of apology to the public by taking political responsibility for this matter.

 

Well, this is just an unprecedented but short story of Japanese politics we used to experience frequently. Nevertheless, while we focus on forecasting the very near future events in not only Japan but the entire world community, this is of extreme significance, I think. Why?

The global financial market keeps on being tumbled, and government of advanced and emerging economies announced series of “rescue programs” including “helicopter money” one after another. Simultaneously, oil price is being sharply falling down and this trend never stops, at least so far. Although almost every analyst of financial market shows interest only in tentative appreciation of USD, JPY has got extreme appreciation recently. This is rather remarkable and meaningful as well than the former.

The human history, of which trends of the global financial market is a part, is constituted by fractal phenomena and regulated by the (mathematical) “power law”. These things simply show events and incidents in the world appear one after another, which are not the same but quite similar to each other. To anticipate the future, this knowledge of “law of history” is so essential that we have to get back to the past and intensively learn what happened before thinking of the events ahead. Once conditions are met as we had in the past, almost same events are about to take place. This is the golden rule all the distinguished viewer of the very near future always keeps eyes on.

Having said that, I herewith underline what we are seeing in both Japan and the global community are quite fractual to the situations in late 1980s, especially the a few-years period from 1987, the year of “Black Monday” in stock markets. We just experienced “Black Days” in the financial market, while we see dramatic falling down of oil price due to Saudi Arabian political decision and unprecedented quantitative easing by central banks and financial authorities of major countries. Almost the same events and incidents happened from October, 1987 in Japan and the whole world, while the then Japanese PM Yasuhiro Nakasone was forced resign after his right-wing administration for 5 years.

nakasone_1

A wise man in the Chinese traditional leadership once told me that Japan can survive despite all the turmoil of the human history, conditioned that she is not led a “powerful” political leader with his original way of thinking but without any appropriate sense to established laws of both the human civilization and universe. In this regard, I firmly believe it’s the highest time for PM Shinzo Abe of Japan to announce his resignation without any prior notice to others. From viewpoint of the above mentioned “law of history”, only the Japanese financial market will suddenly get started with its second version of bubble economy, as soon as its last condition, “resignation of Shinzo Abe”, will be met as we experienced from late autumn of 1987. As far as the latent image is concerned, almost all the requirements for Japan’s bubble economy are satisfied, and in this context, we can already say the bubble economy of Japan has even already begun at least in the latent (high dimensional) world. If Shinzo Abe and his wife still want to save their family dignity, they are highly recommended to follow this “law of history” and give up his highest political power as soon as the critical date of the latent world,  22 March, 2020 comes. Anyway, no more “noble lie”, please, Mr. Prime Minister. Instead, let the human history go forward as it should do. Stay tuned.

Beyond “Black Days” in the Market: What’s Next?

As my institute “IISIA” correctly had forecasted since the last week of February 2020, the global financial market dramatically tumbled and reached its selling climax last week. Amid the financial turmoil, almost everybody seems to talk about the emerging recession of the world economy. Well, I fully understand such a sentiment in the society, however, this is unfortunately not the case. Why?

Apart from individual retail investors, nobody among leading institutional investors refers to “recession” actually. For him/her, there is ONLY volatilities, which enable him/her make profits. Thus, “going-down” in the market is, at least for him/her, welcome, as long as he/she can be well prepared in advance. The only question is, therefore, how long it will take before fixing his/her profit with deals.

In this regard, the current situation in the global financial market is quite easy to understand, conditioned that you’re well aware of the golden rule for state leadership in terms of governance of national economy. When the nation state’s economy flourishes, supply surpasses demand sooner or later. To avoid rapid recession due to such a situation, the government used to either officially or unofficially begin wars for increasing demands. This is exactly why the modern history has been always accompanied with devastating wars among nations.

The point is none of the current political leaders in the world can’t follow this golden rule because of two reasons: To execute a physical “war”, they’re urged to collect a huge amount of money. Facing accumulating sovereign debts, they’re awfully reluctant to do so in order not to fall into national default, a nightmare for political leaders. Having said that, even Donald Trump and Xi Jinping has domestically enough support in their societies to force their citizens to go to the battlefield. Particularly, Donald Trump really loves to do “verbal” wars through Twitters, but never declares a real “physical” war against his alleged “enemy countries”. This is also the case for other leaders of major countries including Europe, China and even Japan.

In this context, it’s COVID-19 (new coronavirus) that really matters to these poor political leaders. Due to spread of the virus, all the governments on the globe may now release their “emergency declaration” and limit physical and economic activities of their citizens. That is, of course, VERY VERY bad for national economies, which inevitably leads us to a “recession-like situation”. Nevertheless, the situation can be controlled both politically and artificially.

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In the Tokyo stock market, NIKKEI 225 index recently abruptly fell down to 19,500 point at first, and then to 17500, while mass media loudly reported investors are in fear of wider spread of coronavirus in the Japanese society. As mentioned above, IISIA, my institute has been publicly announcing its forecast on the future financial market saying it’s about rather to rocket, which would be described “the very last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” afterwards. Having viewed the latest changes in the Tokyo stock market, I’m firmly confident facts will follow our forecast very soon.

17,500 point of NIKKEI 225 index is closely connected with irreversible insolvency of Bank of Japan, which has massively bought ETFs in the market since 2012. 19.500 point means, according to BOJ’s disclosed balance sheet, BOJ stops to enjoy profit due to increasing price of Japanese stocks. In short, BOJ simply returns to its “ground zero” and will begin to make the Tokyo stock market rocket again from 16 March, 2020, while Government of Japan suddenly starts to announce the domestic situation related to COVID-19 is allegedly under control. We’re just viewing Japanese style of “nobles oblige”, I think.

While other major economies still pretend to suffer from the wide and devastating spread of the new coronavirus, Japan tends to be regarded as “top runner” or even “last resort” in the financial market very soon. The GOJ is forced to persuade all the stakeholders that the Tokyo Olympiad 2020 shall be held according to its officially fixed schedule. To do so, GOJ will make use of all means including the next stage of quantitative easing by BOJ and withdrawal of the increase of consumption tax from 10 to 8 percent, which obviously oppressed further recovery of Japanese national economy. To Japan, special attention should be tentatively paid, since US and EU rather concentrate on decreasing the velocity of their economies’ growth by using the “COVID-19” trick. To wrap up, I herewith wanna say the Japanese stock market will rocket at least two months from 16 March, 2020, until the time when the Tokyo Summer Olympic Games in 2020 will be officially cancelled due to the on-going pandemic despite all the measures taken by GOJ.

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Well, asking myself again, why Japan?? If you would belong to the gentlemen’s club called “freemasonry”, you’d be quite aware Japan is the nation which always gets breakthroughs for the sake of other parts of the world (Even though I’m not a member of the club, an Asian deep throat standing very close to me, once told this face with a written evidence.). What the global leaders expect to see is a “gnostic revolution of the world”. To make it happen, Japan shall be enough oppressed to jump into another dimension by thinking and doing outside the box. According to the Le Chatelier’s principle, Japan needs to be raised and go up dramatically, so as to go down drastically. The above shown “last stage of Japan’s bubble economy” with highly increasing stock price since 16 March, 2020 is strongly needed, so that the global leadership will be fully satisfied to see the next stage of the human civilization. The latest “Black Days” are the very beginning of the final story, being combined with the middle-sized earthquake in NOTO Peninsula in the midnight of 12 March, 2020. Stay tuned.

Next Target: Russia. What Shall Be Done?

While Xi Jinping’s state visit obviously failed to be realized at this juncture, Japanese PM Shinzo Abe’s diplomacy aims at another goal right now: Russia. Mass media don’t pay both sufficient and appropriate attention to Abe’s visit to Moscow in May so far, as far as I’ve been informed. Nevertheless, this visit will be the decisive milestone for not only Japanese and Russian diplomacy but also crisis management of the entire global community including fight against pandemic. Do you know why?

Abe’s administration proudly announces that “the personal friendship between Shinzo and Vladimir” is already firm enough to get a breakthrough in terms of Kuril islands issue, the issue of Achilless’ tendon of bilateral relationship between Tokyo and Moscow. But the Russian side isn’t convinced of rapprochement with Japan and still doubts Tokyo’s real intention vis-à-vis Moscow. In this regard, I have a written evidence, which I don’t disclose to the public right now (maybe later, through this official weblog. Stay tuned).
Nobody except for inner circle of political mystics in both nations seems to understand dramatic turbulence in PRC such as the on-going one caused by COVID-19, will be sooner or later closely related to this territorial issue. How about you?? To understand Putin’s way of thinking, just imagine the following future scenario in this context: At this stage, Russia succeeds to control the worldwide crisis due to COVID-19 by banning entrance of the Chinese into the border, while almost no Chinese citizens are seen in major cities in Russia such as St. Petersburg I recently visited. This is not the case for Japan: Due to failed crisis management, PM Shinzo Abe once announced to “welcome” Chinese citizens even after the outbreak of the pandemic this year. Before dramatic change of Abe’s policy against Chinese tentative “medical immigrants”, a huge number of such citizens have already come to Japan (particularly Hokkaido) as a better place than their hometown in PRC. Now, Abe’s administration finally makes series of decisions to suppress the number of COVID-19 patients in the domestic sphere, while he feels strongly pressed by the global management in the context of mismanagement regarding “Diamond Princess”. Having said that, Abe’s position towards Putin seems not to be best for the deal of Kuril Islands, while Japan’s status and power are apparently weakened in the midst of this turmoil of pandemic. Theoretically, Putin could take advantage of such a situation and force his “fake friend”, Shinzo, to accept “the glorious achievement of the former Soviet Union during WWII in Far East”.

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From my viewpoint, the only way-out will be given to the poor PM of Japan, when another shock wave of pandemic after COVID-19 will appear very soon. Being combined with political upheavals in peripheries of PRC such as Hongkong, this second wave of pandemic, which will be much more powerful and uncontrollable than the current one, will lead the Chinese people to massively emigrate from PRC and get safe haven in the neighborhood, especially Japan and Russia. This kind of dramatic escalation due to the common reason will inevitably force the both nations to find a joint solution by making a (tentative) colony for the Chinese migrants in a place which they have been discussing so long time. As you might grasp right now, that’s the Kuril Islands.
Of course, reading such a future scenario of stupid imagination, you must be laughing, I believe. However, just take into account massive emigrant wave is now caused by the Turkish authority right now, which will make the whole Europeans get into an unprecedented social crisis. Why not also in Far East? And the game will be totally changed when the United Nations will be asked to lead the discussion on making such a (tentative) colony due to massive emigrant wave from PRC to Russia and Japan.
Even though he pretend to stick to only security issues, Putin actually expects Abe to show his sense of understanding such a “big picture” of the very near future, I suppose. Despite his public image of “strong political guy”, it’s Vladimir Putin that is of highly mystical character and confidentially supported by financing of the (western) global leadership from the very beginning of his political career in St. Petersburg and Moscow. From his own mystical information source, Putin seems to know what will take place in Russia and other parts of the world in the very near future. My impression is he’s just following what his mysitical master tells, while his political decision is thus somtimes extremely difficult for other to undersand. For the same reason, Putin and his satete “Russia” is well prepared for the on-going pandemic.

Japan’s diplomacy tries to make use of the issue of DPRK as one of the common backgrounds for rapproachement with Russia, which the Russians never regard so any more. Japan is urged to find out another common issue with Russia other than trivial propaganda of joint economic activities in the Kuril Islands. That’s the pandemic, even a new one ahead, I think. If Putin won’t be well prepared for this new one, Russia will immediately get into crisis and turmoil. That’ll be “the high time” for diplomacy of Japan vis-a-vis Russia, in terms of the Kuril Islands issue. Keep eyes on the future development of the Japan-Russian collaboration to this direction. Stay tuned.